White House Budget Director Peter Orszag is a numbers guy, a propeller head as President Obama would say. But as David Von Drehle and I write in this week's print version of TIME, Orszag has been spending his time recently reading not about spreadsheets, but about psychology. In particular, he has been reading a new book by the economists George Akerlof and Robert Shiller called "Animal Spirits: How Human Psychology Drives The Economy, and Why It Matters For Global Capitalism." [...]
The White House is trying to recreate a sense of confidence by pointing out all the measurements that suggest the sudden loss of confidence may be causing the same irrational result that the confidence bubble created. Of course, the White House must walk a delicate line here, for even the smartest people in the Washington do not know when the markets will stop sinking. No one can predict the animal spirits. As Obama said Thursday, "The market is going to be responding to all this information out there and, you know, the whole issue of animal spirits in the marketplace and when suddenly a rally catches, you know, you guys know that better than I do. But my focus has to be on the long term. And my long-term projections are highly optimistic -- if we take care of some of these long-term structural problems."
GREGORY: It was then candidate Obama...that roundly criticized McCain saying he was out of touch, he didn't get it, he didn't understand."
ME AND MY WIFE AT THE SAME TIME YELLING AT THE TEEVEE: That's because he WAS OUT OF TOUCH, HE DIDN'T GET IT.
ME: McCain proposed a spending freeze! Because he is some sort of idiot!
MY WIFE: OMG! I cannot possibly debate another man on the economy while the economy is subject to so much debate.
ME: That would be crazy! Better suspend my campaign! OR...I MEAN, MAYBE NOT MAKE AN APPEARANCE ON DAVID LETTERMAN.
MY WIFE: I'm John McCain! I cannot do two things at once!
ME: MY GOD! Maybe that's where the media has gotten this whole "Obama is too busy meme" from!
Hi, David Gregory...I see you have a bunch of questions on the matter of taxing health care plans...Obama was against this during the campaign! But now, it looks like he's considering the idea...And yet, two of his aides today have stipulated that he's nevertheless against it...You think that this means he might change his mind, and unfortunately, you are talking to his aides, who are trained to be overly cautious in their remarks...But let me demystify this shit for you.
What you might call "Obama is considering the idea," I might more accurately term, "For the sake of being an all around good guy, Obama is TOLERATING THE DISCUSSION of an idea he doesn't support." See, one of the things that's been very central to the way Obama wants to do business is that he'd prefer that no party left the bargaining table feeling disrespected. Everyone deserves to be listened to, with respect...That's how he ran the Harvard Law Review, that's how he acted as an Illinois State Senator. That's why he does things like make broad overtures to his opponents...Now, Max Baucus, he isn't even really an opponent! But he's presented himself as a rock in the road of health care reform that has to be gotten around or over...Taxing health benefits is HIS idea.
Now, if it were me, I'd say, "No Max, that idea is right out, forget it." But then, I am different from Obama, in that I don't feel a structural obligation to ever be nice or accomodating to Max Baucus. Seriously, in my life, my policy is that Max Baucus can get out of my goddamned way and LIKE IT...But Obama, he wants to take a different tack, and good for him, I guess. The funny thing is, David Gregory, is that if Obama had flat out told Max Baucus to screw himself, your questions this morning would be: "WHOA! DIDN'T BARACK OBAMA PROMISE A NEW TYPE OF TEH POLITICS?"
When Obama actually goes back on his objection to taxing health plan benefits, then yeah, NAIL HIS ASS...I WILL SUPPLY YOU WITH BRADS...But you know the rules of engagement that are in play here! You know exactly why Obama has to seem to be amenable to this idea...You could just say to the audience, directly: "The irony of wanting to be a good sport with political rivals and people with differing ideas, is from time to time, Obama is going to have to spend time accomodating people whose ideas are anathema to the way he campaigns." And then, you can ask a Christina Romer: "Is this policy of accomodation worth it? What are you gaining? What are you losing? Is it better to just be direct?" And then Romer has to answer that line of inquiry...
But I just don't understand why you have to pointlessly mystify this stuff for your audience, David Gregory...Nothing in the world will be effected by nailing Romer on this puzzling and worthless point.
I am weary of AIG and similar companies whose leaders are nothing more than greed junkies. These addicts are incapable of exhibiting different because regardless of what they say, they are always in pursuit of their next fix. In relentless pursuit of money, they are driven by greed and fueled by a behavior that always provides the needed money injection. What is the saying that is associated with 12-step programs? "Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results." Is there a more apt statement to describe the federal government's failed behaviors here? Until someone, somewhere, somehow, demands that these "users" be held accountable for their behavior, we will not see any significant change. If our elected officials are incapable of making these demands, shouldn't that be the focus and role of the fourth estate?
I was naively hoping for more on the Jon Stewart's interview with Jim Cramer on the Sunday shows today, but if you watched the entire unedited video on the Web of the Cramer - Stewart exchange, it is not surprising the Sunday morning shows, for the most part, chose to ignore it...After all, how do most of these media pundits differ from Jim Cramer? I have to say I was disappointed that Face the Nation served up the usual Sunday morning "variations on the same theme," because if there is some hope, it usually lies with Bob Schieffer.
The GOP's congressional mouthpiece attributed his votes for the Bush deficit-ridden budgets to the necessity of supporting the troops in war time. David, of course, failed to point out that W's Iraq debacle was held off the books so was not part of the budget.
This very small vignette speaks volumes of what is killing our democracy. The RW has learned that lies will not be exposed, so routinely and recklessly they have become the party of fantasy. The Fourth Estate is so unmoored from journalistic fundamentals, it not only accept being lied to its face but acts as a transmission belt injecting bad information into the body politic.
TODAY:
"Katty Kay Is Crushing All Of You, Good God."
DRAMATIS PERSONAE:
David Gregory, be-banged banger of gongs
Katty Kay, like Uma Thurman in KILL BILL
David Frum, dissolves in antacid
Steve Liesman, seller of Lethe
Tavis Smiley, also sort of crushing it
Me, rightfully abus'd Twitt'r'r
PART ONE: "In His Bold Gaze My Ruin Is Ignored."
GREGORY: OMGZ, What about the confidence? If the Obama team now expresses confidence in economic fundamentals, doesn't that mean we should unelect him, put McCain in the White House, and ride his idiotic spending freeze to Twitter City, where his daughter is finally getting the dates she deserves?
LIESMAN: Per recent televised spankings, I am obligated to answer you very soberly...So, why doesn't everyone sit back and see if it all works before we start suggesting any more revolts on the floor of the Chicago Merc...MMMM'Kay?
GREGORY: But, OMGZ, the AIGZ? Who shall slay these horrible bonus-busting werebuffaloes?
SMILEY: Dude...You need to realize that this is what happens when everything you do structurally advantages the wealthy.
FRUM: WHO WILL THINK OF THE PEOPLE WHO WORK AT THE BROOKINGS INSTITUTE! How dare the Obama administration inconvenience these brave providers of economically stimulating white papers.
GREGORY: Seriously though?
FRUM: The stimulus is to small! It's not global. AND NO ONE IS THINKING OF THE MEXICAN TRUCKING! And the administration has no clue on monetary policy!
LIESMAN: Huh? What? Interest rates are at zero?
FRUM: They could print money!
GREGORY: But, OMGZ, Europe?
KAY: Not to crush you all, but I got news for you...Europeans aren't panicking...They know they're going to be fine...They're going to live...So no one's pushing to help America out...They figure that the problems America faces should be solved my America...Good luck, though!
ME: And seriously, keep talking about "europeanization" like it was a social disease! That will totally get Sweden and France to pitch in!
GREGORY: But OMGZ, TEH DAILY SHOW...Jon Stewart really ridiculed the journalists! But really, no one in journalism saw it coming because it was just too difficult to understand. So no one can claim to be deserving of an award for getting it right! Right? RIGHT?!
LIESMAN: Per recent televised spankings, I am obligated to answer you very soberly. And I am not a CNBC spokesman...But I'll take an award...A small one, anyway...Anyway, there were reporters, reporting on this stuff...That no one noticed isn't my problem.
KAY: Not to crush you all, but this is very similar to Iraq War, where y'all busted your humps so hard pretending not to notice things that were self-evident..."President Bush was not hauled over the coals in a way that Tony Blair was." But in this case, everythings compounded by the fact that this topic is very complicated, and we don't know enough about it to talk about it.
GREGORY: I'm going to interrupt the lady who's rightly pointing out what a failure we all are to ask the same question of Tavis Smiley..."What should have been said? What should have been exposed?" Nothing right! Oh well, just the way it is, right?
SMILEY: "You ain't got the time for the answer, David...there needs to be a poverty agenda in this country."
ME: That's because when you say, "working class," Tavis, David Gregory thinks, oh, like the people under me at NBC news! But they're doing okay!
GREGORY: OKAY! I AM GOING TO ASK THIS! ONE MORE TIME! David Frum! I am asking you! To let me off the hook! And blame working Americans! Please! God! Please!
FRUM: The Bush administration just didn't have any "good economic news" except for the housing bubble, which was at least a good illusion...We didn't want to say anything bad about it, because then we would have been left with just bad economic news.
ME: And that's almost honest! The only thing I'd point out is that if the Bush administration had had a "policy apparatus," it could have been brought to bear on all the other aspects of the economy that promoted that "bad economic news." Instead, you all pretended, and are pretending to this day, that your horrible job growth was a record breaking success.
FRUM: We did it for you AMERICA! Don't blame us! It was all for you! Only for you!
CHRIS BROWN: It was all for you, Rihanna!
ME: Yes...I AIM TO DRAW THAT UNSETTLING COMPARISON.
FRUM: It not anyone's fault that we have 24 hour news channels, that make things less serious!
GREGORY: And the Washington Post is failing too! This can all be blamed on Craigslist...We all could not help but be very very stupid.
SMILEY: "Why can't somebody have said, very simply: Tax cuts for the rich and lucky are not the answer?"
GREGORY/FRUM: OH BUT THAT'S A POLITICAL POINT...THAT DOESN'T SPEAK TO THE ISSUES. RHUBARB, RHUBARB, RHUBARB!
KAY: Not to crush you, but "journalists are there to ask tough questions." What is the point to us? "We are here to ask the tough question, and then ask a followup question if we don't get the answer."
ME: You might as well be speaking Tralfamadorian to David Gregory, Katty.
GREGORY: Wha--...Wha--...Was what was wrong knowable?
LIESMAN: Yes.
ME: YES! YES! HERE ARE SOME PEOPLE WHO KNEW!
PART TWO: "Blackface at the Party"
GREGORY: OMGZ THE MICHAEL STEELEZ? He said he's pro-choice, like most Americans!
FRUM: Pro-choice should be a view accepted in the Republican Party...But SWEET SASSY MOLASSEY! We need Michael Steele! He's so exciting and awesome, the way he makes a fool of himself, with hip-hop lingo! And calling Sinatra's crew the "Pack Rats." And caving in and apologizing to Rush Limbaugh, like the Wuss King...GOD THAT WAS ALL SO BEAUTIFUL...We need more of that...We need that face! That face!
SMILEY: It's about the policy, not the blackface.
FRUM: He's not the blackface...He's a differentface.
SMILEY: That's my point, no blackface!
FRUM: Differentface.
SMILEY: Differentface.
FRUM: Coincidentally, blackface.
KAY: Not to crush you all, but "isn't the problem with the Republican party is that I haven't heard a sensible Republican idea on this economic crisis, apart from reducing taxes, over the last four months? They have to start coming up with ideas that the American public is interested in. You've hot some Republicans saying 'We have to get back to talking about healthcare...education, tha kinds of things the American public are talking about. Not just talking about taxes."
LIESMAN: Lowering taxes is the Republican solution to everything.
ME: Careful now, it's also David Gregory's solution to everything.
GREGORY: Some Democrats want to give the American people their money back, too.
LIESMAN: But the American people support stimulus...If you give them money, they'll tend to save it...Right now, the public wants government spending.
GREGORY: WELL I'M GOING TO CUT THIS DISCUSSION SHORT.
Read more: Sunday Morning Talk Shows, Politics News
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